Trump's win isn't enough - We Need a National Divorce

The National Divorce movements will grow - they’re not on hold

Obviously, the secession movement would have been kicked into high gear by a Kamala win, but there will be outrageous acts of resistance to Trump soon enough, and plenty of conservative disappointment.

I became a secession activist during Trump’s first term in June 2017 when I saw that federal judges blocked most of his decisions, he couldn't get nominations through the Senate despite a GOP majority in both chambers, and RINOs refused to end the filibuster.

Trump was afraid to assert his authority because of fear of being removed from office. At times, his decisions were so weak regarding the border that I was convinced he was blackmailed by the FBI. I became a secession activist then, because the will of the voters was blocked.

California voters saw it too. A poll showed 50% support for secession in December 2016, but the number steadily decreased in the 1st half of 2017 as California leftists discovered that Trump's will was neutered by the ruling class.

I don't think California is likely to be the first state to secede, because the Left still controls all the institutions of influence in this empire, except the White House and some red state governments. There were less than 1000 tweets on all of X.com that contained the word “CALEXIT” since the election. This is very little for such a big platform, and nothing compared to 2016. Social media followings of the two main CALEXIT groups (CALEXIT LLC & Independent California Institute) did not grow much due to the election, nor did California National Party or Yes! California. The Left has gotten used to the idea of Trump as president, and they’re tired of fighting. Also, many of them think that secession is illegal or violent, so they poll better when couched a secession question contains the words “legally & peacefully negotiated.”

The Texas Nationalist Movement wrote last week, “When Trump won in 2016, pundits and armchair quarterbacks predicted the demise of our movement. Instead, the TNM nearly doubled in registered supporters as Texans witnessed firsthand how immune the federal system is to meaningful reform."

The next four years are the best years for a red-state secession movement because Trump is unlikely to allow fedgov to attack us or our governors even if our movement is successful. I don’t have quite the same confidence about the next Dem president.

What you can do

Support the Texas Nationalist Movement or Free Louisiana. If Texas politicians balk, perhaps Louisiana politicians won’t. Although subscriptions to my Substack are free, you can support me with a paid subscription. Also follow my social media and find me on X.

Kamala came within 1% of winning the election

Yes, it's great that Trump won two bluer states than necessary (Michigan & Wisconsin), but if 1% more of the voters in three states (MI, WI, and Pennsylvania) had voted Kamala instead of Trump, we'd now have the most radical and anti-white and anti-Christian president in history. Trump won PA 50.4% to 48.6%. MI & WI were worse. The other swing states are not as liberal (at least this year) as that “blue wall,” but Trump needed to win one of the blue wall to get enough electoral votes. Are you comfortable with rolling the dice again to see who’s elected in 2028?

Conservatives won’t have a majority in the House or Senate until we secede

Congress is so gridlocked that we rarely remember it's the most powerful branch in fedgov by far. They are the biggest vulnerability of our attempt to fix fedgov in the next 4 years. Most of the members are blackmailed and intimidated by the intelligence agencies.

The bureaucracy is protected by laws already passed by Congress, including a law that hamstrings the president from changing bureaucratic rules without going through a certain lengthy process. Judges used this law to block most of Trump's decisions from his 1st term.

Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency will be blocked from direct approaches to cutting, because Congress requires by law that certain departments spend certain amounts in certain ways. These are written into spending bills.

In the House, the GOP, including RINOs, will only get a majority of 51% after 4 horrible Biden years. How will the GOP keep the House in 2026 after the media spends 2 years complaining about Trump’s deportations? The fake economy has to deflate some time.

The gerrymandered maps probably aren’t changing until 2032, except maybe in Louisiana, where a gain of one seat is possible due to court case appeal. Redistricting after maps are set is quite rare. Gerrymandering means that conservatives will never get a majority of the House, because some districts are designed to be blue districts.

So in the House, Republicans, including liberal Republicans, will have about 220 seats and Dems 215. That means only 3 defectors from the GOP are enough to give Dems a win on any bill, even if every Republican shows up for a vote. Hopefully, resignations from the House to serve in Trump’s executive branch will be timed well to avoid losing the majority, since the Constitution requires absences in the House to be filled by special election (or regular election), not by appointment. I’m not sure if that’s possible, but hopefully Trump thought this through.

The GOP conference in the House selected Speaker Mike Johnson to serve as Speaker again this week. Earlier this year, Johnson angered the base of the GOP for passing an omnibus spending bill that keeps the government funded at Nancy Pelosi levels, without using any leverage to get anything that Republicans want. He even passed additional Ukraine spending bills (to defend the Ukraine border) without using them as leverage to get funding for the US border.

The House GOP agreed to raise the threshold to move to oust a House speaker to 9 members.

Why is the GOP so liberal? Because conservative voters are not numerous enough in the US to win without liberals in the GOP coalition. This is why Trump worked so hard to bring Democrats (Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr.) in to his coalition. But we wouldn’t need moderates to win in a federation of red states. In fact, social policy would be at the state level anyway, and a National Divorce would cause a migration of libs out and blue-state conservatives in.

The GOP conference in the Senate selected John Thune (MT) as Senate Majority Leader. The Heritage Foundation’s PAC (Heritage Action) rates his conservatism for the last 2 years at only 37% conservative. The GOP average was 62%. So he’s unlikely to allow the Senate to vote on bills that challenge the Regime's funding and bureaucracy, even if the House Speaker found the courage. It’s estimated that only 13 senators voted for the conservative candidate for Majority Leader, Rick Scott.

The GOP only has 53 Senators for the next 2 years. Heritage Action ranks the worst ones on conservatism: Susan Collins (ME) 18% Murkowski (AK) 18% Cornyn (TX) 35% Todd Young (IN) 35%. If Dems don't filibuster, we’ll still need Cornyn or Young's vote to pass anything (using VP's vote to break the tie). Let’s pray that none of the new Senators will score as badly as these.

But of course, they will filibuster. These Senators will refuse to end the filibuster (according to Heritage Action, these are their conservatism scores for the last 2 years):
Thune, McConnell, Boozman, Rounds 37
Capito, Tillis 39
Moran 40
Ernst, Mullin, Wicker 42
(Rick Scott is 92)
This week, McConnell was thanking God that the GOP won the Senate so that they can keep the filibuster. He wants Dems to have a veto.

To overcome a filibuster, we need the votes of seven Dems. Here are the seven least liberal Dem US Senators: Schumer or Padilla or Murphy (tie) 17 Laphonza Butler CA 18 Peter Welch VT 23 Elizabeth Warren MA, Ed Markey MA 29 Jeff Merkley OR 31 Bernie Sanders LOL 46%

Texas is not getting bluer!

Texas GOP presidential results:

2024 56% 2020 53% 2016 52%

2012 57% 2008 55% 2004 61% 2000 59%

US citizens moving into Texas keep it red despite foreign immigration and propaganda from gov schools, news media, Hollywood, etc. US Citizens who move into Texas are 50% more likely to be registered R than D. What many potential movers would like even better is to be able to move to a federation of red states, or of blue states. We can help make that happen by supporting the Texas Nationalist Movement or Free Louisiana.

Florida is getting redder. It voted as red as Texas this year in the presidential election, but support for secession there was only at 41% in 2022, when it was 60% in Texas and 50% in Louisiana.

Of course, the GOP has to continue to move left on social issues to keep a coalition big enough to get these wins. Secession can change that.

Trump’s election map by county stayed the same (except at the Mexico border)

Counties rarely have flipped in this century. This means that my predicted border is unchanged. Here’s 2020:

I revised my map this summer as I thought more about the 2022 poll that showed that people don’t like the idea of their state splitting. My old maps predict more state splits. It’s easier to move than to fight.

2024 Exit polls show that America won’t be red when whites are a minority

Actually, non-middle-eastern, non-Hispanic whites became a minority in the US this year, but they are still a majority of the voters. But since they are the only racial group that votes pro-GOP, their decline means the decline of the GOP unless we secede.

Partisanship in the US has gotten very dangerous

This graph shows that Republicans and Democrats have completely different evaluations of the status of the US economy at any given moment in the last decade. Apparently, we have a different view of reality because we consume different news. This means that we will not be able to share a government because we can’t even agree on basic facts.

A federation of red states could transfer ownership of media to non-Leftist liars so we didn't hear lies about basic facts such as the status of the economy.

Help Trump deport them all!

This winter is a great time to get a job at the under-staffed ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) office of "Enforcement and Removal Operations."

Polls show that immigrants are more racist than Americans, by the way

What you can do

Support the Texas Nationalist Movement or Free Louisiana.